Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046729 0.050827 0.054977 0.059488 0.064246 0.069108 0.074445
2025-06-29 0.040071 0.046059 0.052345 0.059408 0.067096 0.075186 0.084316
2025-07-06 0.036242 0.043703 0.051777 0.061102 0.071515 0.082728 0.095655
2025-07-13 0.031832 0.040199 0.049520 0.060563 0.073181 0.087048 0.103333
2025-07-20 0.028631 0.037721 0.048114 0.060709 0.075391 0.091805 0.111384
2025-07-27 0.026389 0.036127 0.047527 0.061616 0.078324 0.097280 0.120183
2025-08-03 0.024780 0.035132 0.047507 0.063072 0.081807 0.103331 0.129625
2025-08-10 0.021639 0.031993 0.044686 0.060975 0.080921 0.104163 0.132904
2025-08-17 0.019609 0.030107 0.043266 0.060455 0.081812 0.106999 0.138466
2025-08-24 0.017785 0.028353 0.041891 0.059880 0.082545 0.109579 0.143676
2025-08-31 0.017108 0.028079 0.042370 0.061607 0.086097 0.115552 0.152961
2025-09-07 0.016270 0.027519 0.042425 0.062752 0.088900 0.120609 0.161158
2025-09-14 0.015264 0.026686 0.042108 0.063435 0.091172 0.125102 0.168806
2025-09-21 0.014124 0.025587 0.041374 0.063528 0.092672 0.128641 0.175309
2025-09-28 0.013683 0.025480 0.041979 0.065387 0.096446 0.135033 0.185369
2025-10-05 0.012497 0.024174 0.040849 0.064863 0.097090 0.137481 0.190544
2025-10-12 0.011628 0.023292 0.040264 0.065035 0.098614 0.141022 0.197080
2025-10-19 0.011063 0.022845 0.040272 0.065995 0.101163 0.145862 0.205252
2025-10-26 0.010701 0.022698 0.040696 0.067526 0.104472 0.151689 0.214697
2025-11-02 0.009360 0.020845 0.038521 0.065330 0.102720 0.150959 0.215812
2025-11-09 0.008554 0.019829 0.037544 0.064785 0.103159 0.153034 0.220476
2025-11-16 0.007798 0.018840 0.036558 0.064183 0.103486 0.154939 0.224911
2025-11-23 0.007648 0.018921 0.037228 0.065994 0.107146 0.161237 0.235026